Will an asteroid really pass closer to us than our own satellites in 2029?

Resolves to a mark once decided

✓ Confirmed

Evidence: Predictable by ordinary means

"On April 13, 2029, the asteroid Apophis will pass closer to Earth than our geostationary satellites."

Read the Matias De Stefano summary →

Verification window: April 13, 2029

Maybe's Notes

NASA-confirmed. Apophis will pass about 31,000 km from Earth — inside the ~36,000 km ring where our communication satellites orbit — the closest approach of an asteroid this size in modern records. No impact expected. Again, established astronomy he's highlighting, not an original prediction, but a genuine dateable event to watch for.

How Maybe weighs this

These aren't expert ratings — Maybe is ordinary people doing careful homework, and we show our weighing so you can judge our judgment, not just accept it. Three simple measures, reflecting only the one summarized episode — never the source's full body of work.

Specificity

5/5

Transparency

5/5

Prior Accuracy Not enough resolved claims yet

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